Your Excellency, for more than 15 years the Turkish economy can be
considered a shining star in the region and world-wide, with
extraordinary growth figures, high-volume investments, and countless
international business partnerships. What do you think are the major
reasons for this and what are the next steps you see for the country?
Turkey has structural advantages, like a strong tradition of statehood,
favourable demographic dynamics, an able private sector, a qualified
workforce and a strategic geographical location. The Turkish government has
taken important steps on fiscal adjustment and price stability. It
initiated effective reforms in the public finance, banking, social security
and healthcare prior to the 2008-2009 global financial crisis. The
government continued afterwards with fiscal discipline, an innovative
monetary policy and legislative reform. Stability and confidence led to
high growth and employment. Our economy grew around 7% in 2017. During the
third quarter alone, our growth was 11%. Today Turkey is the world’s 13th
and Europe’s 5th largest economy by purchasing power parity according to
World Bank figures. Turkey aims to maintain macro-economic stability,
gradually reduce the current account deficit and inflation.
As an open market economy, Turkey offers necessary legal infrastructure
where foreign investors enjoy equal and full rights with their Turkish
counterparts. Thus, Turkey managed to attract USD 194.15bn in foreign
direct investments in the last decade. The amount of foreign direct
investment to Turkey in 2017 was nearly USD 11bn. Turkey plans to implement
megaprojects in the upcoming period. We plan to invest about USD 23bn until
2020 in transportation infrastructure. The new airport in Istanbul is
designed to accommodate 90m passengers on an annual basis. New seaport,
highway and railroad projects are also in the pipeline.
The economic relations between Germany and Turkey are traditionally
very close and robust, full of intensive exchange and mutual
investments. Where do you see business relations headed?
Turkey and Germany have very close commercial ties. The two countries
historically cooperated on large-scale investment projects like the
construction of the legendary Baghdad Railway. German companies, some of
which are still active in Turkey over a century later, played an important
role in the early stages of industrialisation in Turkey. In the 1930s,
Turkey provided shelter for Germans of Jewish descent, academics and
engineers. These intellectuals contributed greatly to the reorganisation of
universities and the foundation of new industrial plants and companies in
Turkey.
Today Germany is the leading trade partner of Turkey and the largest export
market for Turkish products. The bilateral trade volume exceeds EUR 37bn.
More than 7,000 German companies, from giants such as Bosch, Siemens, and
Volkswagen to tiny importers of textiles and food, are active in almost
every sector in Turkey. Last year, German investments in Turkey amounted to
USD 430m. This made Germany the fifth largest investor in Turkey. On the
other side of the coin, there are about 80,000 Turkish- German businesses
operating in Germany. Their annual turnover is around EUR 50bn and they
employ 500,000 people in 50 different sectors. Despite these figures, the
bilateral trade and investment volumes still do not reflect the full
potential. We aim to increase our bilateral trade volume to over EUR 40bn
in the next five years. We should also promote mutual investments and joint
ventures. The convening of the Joint Economic and Trade Commission would be
a good step in this direction. We hope to have this meeting at the earliest
date.
There is also strong human bond between the two countries. A great number
of Turkish citizens immigrated to Germany in the 1960s with the signing of
a labour recruitment agreement. Today, more than three million Turkish
citizens and German citizens of Turkish descent live in Germany. Strong
economic and commercial links, the accession process of Turkey to the EU as
well as the millions of German tourists visiting Turkey each year are among
the other building blocks of our relations. Beyond the bilateral scope,
Germany is among our significant partners in the international security and
political structures, including NATO, OSCE as well as the Council of
Europe.
What do you consider as the most promising fields of mutual business
interaction and investment in the economic relations between Turkey and
Germany? How do you assess cooperation in the fields of research and
development (R&D) or scientific education?
The dynamism of our countries is complementary. Market and investment
opportunities in Turkey provide strong incentives for German entrepreneurs.
Turkey’s geostrategic location offers easy access opportunities to a market
of 1.5 billion by a four-hour flight from Istanbul. Turkey has one of the
most effective investment promotion systems in the world. Companies that
position themselves in our country today will be the winners of tomorrow.
We look forward to sustaining and expanding our traditional cooperation in
the automotive industry with Germany. Renewable energy and ecological
issues have immense potential for further cooperation.
Machinery, chemistry, electronics, IT, aeronautics and pharmaceuticals will
always remain as crucial areas of cooperation. Biotechnology and
nanotechnology are among the newly emerging promising fields. We should
also further promote our relations in the fields of R&D and scientific
education. In this area, the Turkish-German University in Istanbul stands
out as the token project of our cooperation. Tourism is another area for
win-win co-operation. Last year, the total number of tourists visiting
Turkey increased by 23%. Overall 32.4 million foreign nationals chose to
visit Turkey for their holidays in 2017. Out of this figure, 3,585,000
tourists were from Germany. When compared to previous years, this is not
satisfactory. However, tourism industry representatives indicate that there
is a strong upward trend in reservations from Germany for the year 2018.
Turkish and German companies and institutions should also work together in
other regions, such as Africa and the Middle East, where we have a common
interest in promoting stability and development.
A major issue for Turkey’s economy is energy. Where do Turkey’s plans
to diversify its energy supply stand today, and how can Germany and the
EU intensify their partnership with Turkey in this field?
Turkey is one of the fastest growing energy markets in the world. Economic
growth, rising per capita income, positive demographic trends and rapid
urbanisation have been the main drivers. Energy demand in Turkey is
estimated to increase by 6% a year through 2023. The total investments
required to meet Turkey’s expected energy demand in 2023 are estimated to
be around USD 110bn. In the long term, Turkey aims to make complete use of
its indigenous coal and hydro resources, make maximum use of renewable
resources and incorporate nuclear energy into electricity generation. It
also plans to increase energy efficiency significantly by decreasing its
energy intensity (energy consumed per national income). The target is to
reduce the energy intensity of Turkey by 20% by 2023 compared to 2011
levels.
Turkey also occupies a strategic location between a number of major energy
consumers and suppliers, and thus serves as a regional energy hub. Energy
is an area in which Turkish and EU interests and challenges largely
overlap. That is why it is a subject of positive dialogue for the two
sides. Secure and commercially viable projects, like the Trans-Anatolian
Natural Gas Pipeline Project (TANAP), which is the backbone of the Southern
Gas Corridor, are important not just for the energy security of Turkey but
also the EU. The gas to be received by Europe through TANAP and then the
Trans Adriatic Pipeline (TAP) will be important in terms of diversifying
sources and routes. We must work together to multiply such examples of
win-win projects.
A milestone in Turkey’s determination to add nuclear into its energy mix
was the groundbreaking ceremony of the Akkuyu nuclear power plant on 3rd
April, which marked the official start of its construction. The first unit
of the power plant is planned to become operational in 2023. There are also
abundant opportunities for renewable forms of energy production – hydro,
wind, solar, and geothermal – in Turkey. The country offers exceptional
potential, particularly in the solar and geothermal sectors. Turkey has the
highest geothermal potential in Europe and the second largest solar energy
potential on the continent. Turkey ranked fourth in the world for the
largest installed geothermal power capacity and ranked third in Europe for
the highest increase in solar power installations. Excluding hydro power,
renewables’ share in the electricity production in Turkey has risen from
0.3% at the turn of the century to approximately 10% today. The Turkish
government plans to increase the share of renewable sources in the
country’s total installed power to 30% by 2023.
Our expansion in renewable energy took two giant steps forward in 2017,
with a wind and a solar tender each exceeding USD 1bn. Several of the
largest renewable energy companies in the world participated in these two
tenders. In August 2017, a consortium composed of Siemens and Turkish
companies Kalyon and Türkerler won the billion-dollar tender for building
wind power projects in five different regions across Turkey, which will
produce 1,000 MW in total. The offered price of USD 3.48 per KWh of
electricity generation in the 1,000-MW wind tender in Turkey broke a world
record as being the lowest cost of electricity per hour. It surpassed the
previous record of USD 10.30 per KWh. Renewable energy offers a promising
avenue for cooperation with the EU. The European Bank for Reconstruction
and Development (EBRD) has a current portfolio of around EUR 1bn invested
in energy projects in Turkey. This investment mainly focuses on renewables.
Germany is one of the leading nations in renewable energy. Bilateral
cooperation in this field would bring mutual benefit. German and Turkish
energy companies can also make joint investments in other parts of the
world, such as in the Middle East and Africa.
One of the key topics of discussion between Turkey and the EU is the
upgrading of the Custom Union. In your opinion, what are the major
advantages of an upgrading and what are the major challenges for this
ambitious project?
First of all, we have to remember that the Custom Union was established as
an integral part of Turkey’s accession process to the EU. It entered into
force on 1st January 1996. It has made significant contributions to the
economies of both sides. Following the Custom Union, trade volume between
Turkey and the EU increased seven-fold and now it amounts to around EUR
140bn annually.
This represents 41% of Turkey's global trade. When we look at the trade
figures, the EU has had a trade surplus of more than USD 300bn since 1996.
Turkey receives almost 5% of the EU’s exports. This makes us the
fourth-largest importer from the EU, ahead of larger economies such as
Japan, Russia, South Korea or India. In addition, two thirds of the foreign
direct investment to Turkey originates from the EU.
Nonetheless, the Custom Union in its current form is not meeting the
expectations of both parties. The main problem is that it is a highly
restrictive agreement, covering only industrial goods. Services, e-commerce
and public procurement are all excluded, and its application to
agricultural goods is extremely limited. Another problem with the agreement
is its asymmetry. One provision stipulates that Turkey amend its trade
policy to reflect the EU’s trade agreements and external tariff policy. Yet
Turkey plays no part in the decision-making bodies that formulate these
policies and tariffs. If the EU signs a free-trade agreement with a third
country, Turkey must grant the same privileges to that country, even if the
country refuses to reciprocate.
The parties agreed on a document forming the negotiation framework on 12th
May 2015. The European Commission asked the Council for a mandate to launch
talks with Turkey with the aim of modernising the Custom Union. We hope
that the Council will instruct the Commission to begin negotiating a new
and more equitable partnership. Independent studies show that both the EU
and Turkey will gain from modernization of the Custom Union. So, it does
not make any sense to present the issue as a favour to Turkey. Mutually
beneficial economic integration should not be politicised. We hope that the
formal negotiations on the modernisation of the Custom Union will start as
soon as possible and proceed swiftly.
There is a growing tendency in some parts of world economy towards
protectionism. What is the position of Turkey in this respect?
A liberal trading system is ultimately in the interest of everybody.
Unilateral steps towards protectionism will be counterproductive.
Protectionism hinders free competition; it will inevitably lead to a
decrease in the quality of goods and services provided. Tariffs also
increase costs for domestic consumers. We should avoid protectionist
policies, which will negatively affect the global economic growth. The
Turkish economy is open to the global markets and well integrated into the
global economy. Around 55,000 international companies are operating in
Turkey. Any tendency towards protectionism would certainly harm the Turkish
economy. We should keep in mind that protectionism cannot be the answer to
challenges of the world economy.
In Germany, ecological issues, combatting climate change, and
preserving sustainability are considered not only as socially
respectable, but also as important sectors for business and innovation.
What is Turkey’s experience in this business field?
Sustainability is an important topic of our global agenda. By adopting
“Agenda 2030: Sustainable Development Goals (SDG)”, we confirmed that
environmental protection is an important pillar of sustainable development,
along with economic growth and social development. It is essential to
integrate sustainable development perspective and SDG targets into the
national development plans and policies. Turkey is one of the 22
volunteering countries that presented their National Reviews at the 2016
High Level Political Forum. We are determined to take necessary actions for
the effective implementation of the 2030 Agenda. We consider that climate
change and the related phenomena such as drought, food and water scarcity,
loss of biodiversity are interlinked. They need to be handled with a
holistic approach. Such an approach will complement the implementation of
the 2030 Agenda. Interactive implementation of the three UN Rio
Conventions, namely the UN Framework Convention for Climate Change, the UN
Convention to Combat Desertification and the UN Convention for Biological
Diversity will yield fruitful results.
Turkey is located in a region vulnerable to the adverse impacts of climate
change. We think that this challenge can only be overcome by regional and
global efforts, based on the principle of ‘Common but Differentiated
Responsibilities and Respective Capabilities’ in the light of different
national circumstances. Turkey’s National Climate Change Strategy &
Action Plan and Climate Change Adaptation Strategy & Action Plan
constitute our roadmap to effectively tackle climate change. Turkey will
continue to involve regional and global cooperation efforts actively to
address environment-related challenges effectively. To name a few, Turkey
hosted the 12th Conference of the Parties to the UN Convention
to Combat Desertification. During our presidency, Turkey carried out the
Presidency of the 12th Conference of the Parties to the UN Convention on
Combatting Desertification (2015-2017) with this understanding and shared
her knowledge and experience in the preparation of drought, desertification
and land degradation neutrality targets with the countries in need.
Turkey is also a member of the Friends of the Group on Desertification,
Land Degradation and Drought and actively supports its activities. We
intend to host the 16th Conference of the Parties to the Convention on
Biological Diversity in 2022. We also intend to contribute to the
scientific studies on environmental issues. In 2017, Turkey developed a
National Antarctic Program. This year the Second National Antarctic
Expedition has been conducted. We look forward to enhancing our cooperation
with Germany and the EU in these areas.
The socio-economic situation in many countries in the MENA region,
including southern European ones, is still problematic. How should
Turkey and Germany, together with others, address effectively the
problems of social instabilities, unemployment and missing perspectives
especially for the young populations, which often lead to migration?
The MENA region is facing various challenges. Since many of the countries
in the MENA region have been our partners for centuries, we feel
responsible for assisting them in solving their problems. Stability in this
region is vital for all of us. The first priority for the region is to
guarantee lasting stability. This requires a legitimate and inclusive
system of governance. The second priority is to resolve the structural
problems of their economies. Turkey works in part with these countries in a
long-term perspective, displaying support and solidarity. Turkey provides
wide-ranging credit and/or development assistance as well. Activities of
Turkish companies in the region promote investment, trade and their
integration into the world economy. Let me mention Turkey’s specific
efforts to address the challenges in the region. Turkey has been following
an “open door policy” for Syrians fleeing from violence. We have been
strictly implementing the principle of non-refoulement. We continue to
provide temporary protection to Syrians without discrimination. The total
number of Syrians in Turkey exceeded 3.5 million in 2017. Our government is
taking care of the needs of more than 250,000 Syrians living in 23
temporary protection centres – and other Syrians outside these centres.
Turkey has also been facilitating the crossborder humanitarian aid
deliveries of UN aid agencies into Syria.
We are also hosting thousands of refugees from Iraq and Afghanistan. Turkey
is the biggest host country according to UNHCR figures. In line with
Turkey’s active role in the humanitarian action, Turkey hosted the
firstever World Humanitarian Summit in May 2016. According to the Global
Humanitarian Assistance Report of March 2017, Turkey ranked the second
largest donor country worldwide with its USD 6bn in humanitarian
assistance. When the ratio of official humanitarian assistance to national
income is taken into consideration, Turkey ranks the first. In conclusion,
we need to find comprehensive political solutions that address the root
causes of social instability and unemployment, which are the drivers of
mass migration. We need to liberalise and promote trade with and in between
MENA countries and increase investments in the region. Turkey and Germany
can work together to promote stability, prosperity and peace in the region.
We are not competing. We have same aims. This is in our common interest.